According to @lookonchain, a newly created wallet labeled "mutualdelta" wagered $40,000 on the Polymarket contract "US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026" and lost the entire stake when the market settled against the bet, resulting in a -100% return; source: https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/2011743341348786436; https://polymarket.com/0xaa6a2beda1ad8d5b40b6af71c4b6d075fa783c59. According to Polymarket’s market page and @lookonchain’s post, the 'Yes' side paid out zero at resolution, confirming a full $40,000 loss for the wallet "mutualdelta"; source: https://polymarket.com/0xaa6a2beda1ad8d5b40b6af71c4b6d075fa783c59; https://twitter.com/lookonchain/status/2011743341348786436.